Alpha Centauri Bb is a False Positive

Ghost in the time series: no planet for Alpha Cen B

Authors:

Rajpaul et al

Abstract:

We re-analyse the publicly available radial velocity (RV) measurements for Alpha Cen B, a star hosting an Earth-mass planet candidate, Alpha Cen Bb, with 3.24 day orbital period. We demonstrate that the 3.24 d signal observed in the Alpha Cen B data almost certainly arises from the window function (time sampling) of the original data. We show that when stellar activity signals are removed from the RV variations, other significant peaks in the power spectrum of the window function are coincidentally suppressed, leaving behind a spurious yet apparently-significant 'ghost' of a signal that was present in the window function's power spectrum to begin with. Even when fitting synthetic data with time sampling identical to the original data, but devoid of any genuine periodicities close to that of the planet candidate, the original model used to infer the presence of Alpha Cen Bb leads to identical conclusions: viz., the 3σ detection of a half-a-metre-per-second signal with 3.236 day period. Our analysis underscores the difficulty of detecting weak planetary signals in RV data, and the importance of understanding in detail how every component of an RV data set, including its time sampling, influences final statistical inference.

Alpha Centauri Bb Does not Transit

Hubble Space Telescope search for the transit of the Earth-mass exoplanet Alpha Centauri Bb

Authors:

Demory et al

Abstract:

Results from exoplanet surveys indicate that small planets (super-Earth size and below) are abundant in our Galaxy. However, little is known about their interiors and atmospheres. There is therefore a need to find small planets transiting bright stars, which would enable a detailed characterisation of this population of objects. We present the results of a search for the transit of the Earth-mass exoplanet Alpha Centauri Bb with the Hubble Space Telescope (HST). We observed Alpha Centauri B twice in 2013 and 2014 for a total of 40 hours. We achieve a precision of 115 ppm per 6-s exposure time in a highly-saturated regime, which is found to be consistent across HST orbits. We rule out the transiting nature of Alpha Centauri Bb with the orbital parameters published in the literature at 96.6% confidence. We find in our data a single transit-like event that could be associated to another Earth-size planet in the system, on a longer period orbit. Our program demonstrates the ability of HST to obtain consistent, high-precision photometry of saturated stars over 26 hours of continuous observations.